FC Andorravs
Burgos
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 10/26/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burgos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Andorra 2-3 Burgos
Original prediction
Burgos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 45.2% | 31.9% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.3% | 28.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 26.5% | 39.7% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Burgos
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Burgos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC AndorraLWDWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BurgosWLLWW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC AndorraBurgos
43.3Attack43.3
43.3Defence66.7
33.3Form56.7
41.3Power58.2
0.88xG1.41