FC Aarauvs
Neuchatel Xamax FC
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 8/28/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neuchatel Xamax FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Aarau 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax FC
Original prediction
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.9% | 33.4% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.2% | 25.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 28.0% | 41.1% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Neuchatel Xamax FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00