FC Aarauvs
Neuchatel Xamax FC
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 8/6/2023, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neuchatel Xamax FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Aarau are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Neuchatel Xamax FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Neuchatel Xamax FC hold a 39.5-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Challenge League, while Neuchatel Xamax FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Neuchatel Xamax FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40