GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 8/6/2023, 12:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Neuchatel Xamax FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Aarau are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Neuchatel Xamax FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Neuchatel Xamax FC hold a 39.5-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Challenge League, while Neuchatel Xamax FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Neuchatel Xamax FC

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Neuchatel Xamax FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC AarauLWLLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Neuchatel Xamax FCDWDLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FC AarauNeuchatel Xamax FC
33.3Attack66.7
44.4Defence66.7
44.4Form100.0
43.8Power83.3
1.18xG1.78
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