Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Zurich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Aarau 2-0 FC Zurich
Original prediction
FC Zurich
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
FC Zurich
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
FC Zurich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC AarauLLLLD
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FC ZurichWWDWD
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FC AarauFC Zurich
100.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
2.03xG2.28