FC Aarauvs
BSC Young Boys
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BSC Young Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-4 (11%), 0-3 (10%), 1-4 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Aarau 1-2 BSC Young Boys
Original prediction
BSC Young Boys
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.18 | 14.8% | 17.7% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.33 | 17.1% | 19.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.34 | 68.1% | 62.8% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–411%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.1–410%
Predicted outcome
BSC Young Boys
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
BSC Young Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40