GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/9/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weidenhausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

FC 1906 Erlensee are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Weidenhausen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weidenhausen hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Weidenhausen holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weidenhausen

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

57.2%

Weidenhausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC 1906 ErlenseeLWLLW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
WeidenhausenWLDLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeWeidenhausen
41.2Attack60.8
30.4Defence45.1
26.5Form49.0
34.5Power51.5
1.43xG2.53
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