GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/26/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC 1906 Erlensee · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC 1906 Erlensee are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Waldgirmes are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Waldgirmes hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while FC 1906 Erlensee holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC 1906 Erlensee

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

FC 1906 Erlensee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC 1906 ErlenseeLLWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WaldgirmesLWLLW

GF 13 · GA 18 · avg 2.60/3.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeWaldgirmes
41.2Attack47.1
30.4Defence25.5
26.5Form39.2
34.5Power39.6
2.00xG1.90
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