GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/30/2023, 2:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

FC 1906 Erlensee are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

58.8%

Model confidence

58.8%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC 1906 ErlenseeLWDLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgLLWWW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeVfb Marburg
41.2Attack50.0
30.4Defence66.7
26.5Form66.7
34.5Power64.8
1.15xG2.27
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