GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/28/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC 1906 Erlensee · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC 1906 Erlensee are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while SV Steinbach are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SV Steinbach hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while FC 1906 Erlensee holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC 1906 Erlensee

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

FC 1906 Erlensee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC 1906 ErlenseeDLLDL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SV SteinbachLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeSV Steinbach
41.2Attack45.1
30.4Defence32.4
26.5Form32.4
34.5Power39.0
1.83xG1.80
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