GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/27/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hünfelder SV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

FC 1906 Erlensee are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Hünfelder SV are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hünfelder SV hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 70.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hünfelder SV holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hünfelder SV

Probability

65.5%

Model confidence

65.5%

Hünfelder SV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC 1906 ErlenseeDLLLD

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Hünfelder SVDDDLW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeHünfelder SV
41.2Attack75.0
30.4Defence58.3
26.5Form75.0
34.5Power70.9
1.21xG2.75
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