GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 5/11/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

FC 1906 Erlensee are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Friedberg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

63.3%

Model confidence

63.3%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC 1906 ErlenseeLWDLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
FriedbergWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeFriedberg
41.2Attack66.7
30.4Defence66.7
26.5Form77.8
34.5Power72.8
1.17xG2.56
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