GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/18/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC 1906 Erlensee · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC 1906 Erlensee are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Dietkirchen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FC 1906 Erlensee hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while FC 1906 Erlensee holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC 1906 Erlensee

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

FC 1906 Erlensee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC 1906 ErlenseeLLDLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
DietkirchenDWLWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeDietkirchen
41.2Attack48.0
30.4Defence16.7
26.5Form23.5
34.5Power32.0
2.30xG1.88
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