GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/12/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayern Alzenau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC 1906 Erlensee are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bayern Alzenau are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayern Alzenau hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Bayern Alzenau holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayern Alzenau

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Bayern Alzenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC 1906 ErlenseeWLWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bayern AlzenauWWWLW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeBayern Alzenau
41.2Attack44.4
30.4Defence44.4
26.5Form22.2
34.5Power40.2
1.48xG2.04
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