GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/14/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC 1906 Erlensee are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Baunatal are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC 1906 Erlensee hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC 1906 ErlenseeLDLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BaunatalWWWWL

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeBaunatal
41.2Attack22.2
30.4Defence44.4
26.5Form11.1
34.5Power29.5
1.53xG1.81
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