GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/16/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

1960 Hanau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

FC 1906 Erlensee are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while 1960 Hanau are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and 1960 Hanau hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while 1960 Hanau holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

1960 Hanau

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

56.3%

1960 Hanau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC 1906 ErlenseeLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
1960 HanauWWLWL

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FC 1906 Erlensee1960 Hanau
41.2Attack83.3
30.4Defence25.0
26.5Form41.7
34.5Power51.6
1.64xG2.72
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