GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 8/6/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC 08 Homburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC 08 Homburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while VfR Aalen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FC 08 Homburg hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.7% in the Regionalliga - SudWest, while FC 08 Homburg holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC 08 Homburg

Probability

57.7%

Model confidence

57.7%

FC 08 Homburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC 08 HomburgDLWLW

GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VfR AalenLDWWW

GF 18 · GA 16 · avg 3.60/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC 08 HomburgVfR Aalen
66.7Attack33.3
54.9Defence66.7
56.9Form33.3
58.5Power45.3
2.28xG1.20
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