GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 8/19/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hoffenheim II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC 08 Homburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hoffenheim II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hoffenheim II hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Regionalliga - SudWest, while Hoffenheim II holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hoffenheim II

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Hoffenheim II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC 08 HomburgWDDLW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hoffenheim IIWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC 08 HomburgHoffenheim II
66.7Attack62.7
54.9Defence71.6
56.9Form57.8
58.5Power62.6
1.23xG1.59
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