FC 08 Homburgvs
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC 08 Homburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC 08 Homburg 1-1 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
Original prediction
FC 08 Homburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.9% | 50.5% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.72 | 19.3% | 25.2% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 5.46 | 16.7% | 24.3% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
FC 08 Homburg
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
FC 08 Homburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60