GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Norra · 8/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Piteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FBK Karlstad are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Piteå are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Piteå hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Ettan - Norra, while Piteå holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Piteå

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

11.6%

Piteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FBK KarlstadDWLWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PiteåDWWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FBK KarlstadPiteå
53.3Attack45.6
33.3Defence57.8
34.4Form47.8
42.1Power52.1
1.43xG1.74
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