FBK Karlstadvs
Karlberg
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FBK Karlstad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FBK Karlstad 3-1 Karlberg
Original prediction
FBK Karlstad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.4% | 56.9% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.8% | 20.8% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.8% | 22.2% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
FBK Karlstad
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
FBK Karlstad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60