GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 5/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

FBC Melgar W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while UNSAAC W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar W hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 24.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Liga Women, while FBC Melgar W holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar W

Probability

81.3%

Model confidence

9.3%

FBC Melgar W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FBC Melgar WWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
UNSAAC WLWLDD

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FBC Melgar WUNSAAC W
66.7Attack23.8
38.1Defence23.8
47.6Form16.7
47.9Power24.6
3.69xG1.02
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