GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 8/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

FBC Melgar W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Flamengo FBC W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar W hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Liga Women, while FBC Melgar W holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar W

Probability

64.2%

Model confidence

7.9%

FBC Melgar W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FBC Melgar WWWLLD

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Flamengo FBC WLDLWD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FBC Melgar WFlamengo FBC W
66.7Attack48.7
38.1Defence30.8
47.6Form30.8
47.9Power37.8
3.23xG1.68
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