GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

FBC Melgar W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Defensores W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar W hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 21.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the Liga Women, while FBC Melgar W holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar W

Probability

72.9%

Model confidence

8.9%

FBC Melgar W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FBC Melgar WWLLDD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Defensores WLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 21 · avg 0.80/4.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FBC Melgar WDefensores W
51.3Attack35.9
33.3Defence0.0
43.6Form25.6
42.5Power21.9
3.35xG1.30
View match centre →