GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 6/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Lima W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

FBC Melgar W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alianza Lima W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima W hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 76.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Liga Women, while Alianza Lima W holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Lima W

Probability

75.4%

Model confidence

9.0%

Alianza Lima W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FBC Melgar WDLWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Alianza Lima WWLDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FBC Melgar WAlianza Lima W
66.7Attack94.1
38.1Defence78.4
47.6Form74.5
47.9Power76.4
1.28xG3.55
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