FBC Melgarvs
Vasco DA Gama
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/2/2025, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
FBC Melgar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vasco DA Gama
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40