GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

FBC Melgar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while UTC Cajamarca are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar

Probability

65.1%

Model confidence

12.2%

FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FBC MelgarLWWLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UTC CajamarcaDLDLD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FBC MelgarUTC Cajamarca
57.1Attack38.1
58.7Defence46.0
55.6Form31.7
57.8Power41.3
2.08xG0.82
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