Copa De La LigaCopa De La Liga
Monday, 29 June 2026Last updated 12:37
FBC Melgar

FBC Melgar

Home
D
00
Full time
UCV Moquegua

UCV Moquegua

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
FBC Melgar(43%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
FBC Melgar
43%
Draw
27%
UCV Moquegua
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FBC Melgar
9
UCV Moquegua
9
Defence
FBC Melgar
91
UCV Moquegua
91
Momentum
FBC Melgar
33
UCV Moquegua
33
Danger (xG)
FBC Melgar
0.00
UCV Moquegua
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (FBC Melgar)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (UCV Moquegua)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (FBC Melgar)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (UCV Moquegua)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
DW
UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua
D

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
FBC Melgar43%
Draw27%
UCV Moquegua31%

FBC Melgar leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

FBC Melgar head into this in Copa De La Liga fixture in mixed form (D), while UCV Moquegua arrive in mixed form (D). FBC Melgar have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for UCV Moquegua over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — FBC Melgar (91/100) and UCV Moquegua (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

FBC Melgar have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. UCV Moquegua have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects FBC Melgar to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: FBC Melgar 4250%, Draw 2670%, UCV Moquegua 3080%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

FBC Melgar 0Draws 10 UCV Moquegua
Avg goals: 0.0
29 Jun 2026
FBC Melgar
D00
UCV Moquegua

Recent form

FBC Melgar

FBC Melgar

D
vs UCV Moquegua
29 Jun 2026
00
W
vs Sport Huancayo
16 May 2026
10
UCV Moquegua

UCV Moquegua

D
@ FBC Melgar
29 Jun 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua?

GoalVio's model predicts FBC Melgar to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more