FBC Melgarvs
UCV Moquegua
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 2/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FBC Melgar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
FBC Melgar are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while UCV Moquegua are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.2% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FBC Melgar
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
15.2%
FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60