GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

FBC Melgar are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while UCV Moquegua are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.2% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar

Probability

61.8%

Model confidence

15.2%

FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FBC MelgarWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UCV MoqueguaLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FBC MelgarUCV Moquegua
57.1Attack30.2
58.7Defence55.6
55.6Form33.3
57.8Power41.8
1.71xG0.65
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