FBC Melgarvs
Lanus
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/7/2025, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FBC Melgar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FBC Melgar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lanus are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FBC Melgar
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40