GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/13/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

FBC Melgar are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Deportivo Municipal are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FBC MelgarLL

GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Deportivo MunicipalLW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
FBC MelgarDeportivo Municipal
57.1Attack33.3
58.7Defence50.0
55.6Form35.2
57.8Power41.2
1.93xG0.72
View match centre →