GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/27/2026, 10:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FBC Melgar are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cultural Santa Rosa are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.8 against 59.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

13.3%

FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FBC MelgarLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cultural Santa RosaWDWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FBC MelgarCultural Santa Rosa
57.1Attack49.2
58.7Defence57.1
55.6Form65.1
57.8Power59.6
1.56xG1.12
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