FBC Melgarvs
Atletico Grau
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 3/15/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FBC Melgar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
FBC Melgar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atletico Grau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FBC Melgar
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20