FBC Melgarvs
Alianza Lima
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 8/23/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FBC Melgar 1-1 Alianza Lima
Original prediction
Alianza Lima
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Alianza Lima
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FBC MelgarWLDWW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Alianza LimaWDWDW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FBC MelgarAlianza Lima
59.1Attack59.1
60.6Defence80.3
57.6Form77.3
59.5Power72.3
0.94xG1.33