Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kuktosh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fayzkand are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kuktosh are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kuktosh hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Kuktosh holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kuktosh
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Kuktosh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/3.00