GGOALVIO

Austria · Regionalliga - Ost · 7/28/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Favoritner AC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Favoritner AC are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Mauerwerk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Favoritner AC hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 35.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the Regionalliga - Ost, while Favoritner AC holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Favoritner AC

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

59.0%

Favoritner AC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Favoritner ACLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
MauerwerkLDLLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Favoritner ACMauerwerk
11.1Attack31.1
66.7Defence35.6
33.3Form32.2
40.3Power35.4
1.84xG0.77
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