GGOALVIO

Austria · Regionalliga - Ost · 9/4/2026, 5:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Favoritner AC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Favoritner AC 3-0 Leobendorf

Original prediction

Favoritner AC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4736.6%40.1%3.5 pts
Draw3.5325.6%27.7%2.1 pts
Away2.3937.8%32.3%-5.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Favoritner AC

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Favoritner AC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Favoritner ACWLLWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
LeobendorfLLDWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Favoritner ACLeobendorf
20.0Attack40.0
73.3Defence53.3
40.0Form33.3
46.4Power45.2
1.25xG0.98
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