Fauske Sprintvs
Strømsgodset II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 5 · 9/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fauske Sprint · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fauske Sprint 5-3 Strømsgodset II
Original prediction
Fauske Sprint
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.4% | 43.5% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.2% | 23.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.3% | 32.8% | -9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Fauske Sprint
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Fauske Sprint has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.75/3.50
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40