Fauske Sprintvs
Harstad
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 5 · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Harstad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-4 (7%), 2-4 (7%), 3-5 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fauske Sprint 2-4 Harstad
Original prediction
Harstad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.70 | 19.2% | 25.0% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 19.4% | 17.1% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.47 | 61.4% | 58.0% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–47%
- 2.2–47%
- 3.3–56%
Predicted outcome
Harstad
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Harstad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20