Fatih Karagümrükvs
Beşiktaş
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 8/14/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Fatih Karagümrük are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Beşiktaş are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the Süper Lig, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/1.50
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60