Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FAS 1-0 Platense, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
FAS 2-3 Platense
Original prediction
FAS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.0% | 67.2% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.4% | 20.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 6.61 | 13.6% | 12.2% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
FAS 1–0 Platense
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
FAS
Probability
67.2%
Model confidence
67.2%
FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FASWWDWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PlatenseWWLDL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FASPlatense
59.5Attack42.2
71.4Defence55.6
71.4Form42.2
68.4Power48.4
1.81xG0.62