Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FAS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Municipal are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal hold a 41.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while Municipal holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Municipal
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
14.3%
Municipal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60