GGOALVIO

El-Salvador · Primera Division · 10/22/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FAS · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FAS 0-0 Isidro Metapán

Original prediction

FAS

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1342.2%45.2%2.9 pts
Draw3.0929.0%27.6%-1.4 pts
Away3.1328.7%27.2%-1.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

FAS

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FASLWWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Isidro MetapánWLWWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FASIsidro Metapán
60.0Attack51.1
66.7Defence62.2
66.7Form64.4
65.4Power61.1
1.47xG0.92
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