Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
12%
MediumconfidenceFAS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Águila are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and fAS hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (67.8 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Primera Division, favouring FAS with 12.4% confidence, a 49% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FAS
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
12.4%
FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FASDLWLW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ÁguilaLDDDL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FASÁguila
77.8Attack33.3
66.7Defence58.3
66.7Form25.0
67.8Power42.1
1.73xG0.89