Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAS · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FAS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Firpo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Firpo hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 79.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Primera Division, while FAS holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FAS
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
13.8%
FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60