Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAS · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FAS are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Firpo are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (DWWD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Firpo hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 79.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the Primera Division, while FAS holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FAS
Probability
34.4%
Model confidence
34.4%
FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/0.75