Farul Constantavs
Uta Arad
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 9/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Farul Constanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Farul Constanta 4-2 Uta Arad
Original prediction
Farul Constanta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.7% | 45.2% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.6% | 27.5% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.7% | 27.2% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Farul Constanta
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Farul Constanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80