GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/12/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Farul Constanta · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Farul Constanta are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Sheriff Tiraspol are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheriff Tiraspol hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the UEFA Champions League, while Farul Constanta holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Farul Constanta

Probability

34.8%

Model confidence

34.8%

Farul Constanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Farul ConstantaLLLWL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Sheriff TiraspolLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Farul ConstantaSheriff Tiraspol
16.7Attack41.7
50.0Defence58.3
50.0Form50.0
42.7Power50.5
1.34xG1.30
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