Farul Constantavs
Petrolul Ploiesti
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 10/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petrolul Ploiesti · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Farul Constanta 3-1 Petrolul Ploiesti
Original prediction
Petrolul Ploiesti
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.9% | 35.6% | -13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.2% | 27.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.68 | 24.9% | 37.0% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Petrolul Ploiesti
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Petrolul Ploiesti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00