Farul Constantavs
Oţelul
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Farul Constanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Farul Constanta 4-3 Oţelul
Original prediction
Farul Constanta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.2% | 52.4% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.3% | 25.2% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.5% | 22.4% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Farul Constanta
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Farul Constanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80