GGOALVIO

Romania · Liga I · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Farul Constanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Farul Constanta 0-0 FC Botosani

Original prediction

Farul Constanta

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9048.6%48.1%-0.5 pts
Draw3.5126.4%25.9%-0.4 pts
Away3.7025.0%26.0%1.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Farul Constanta

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

Farul Constanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Farul ConstantaDLDWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FC BotosaniWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Farul ConstantaFC Botosani
55.6Attack38.9
55.6Defence55.6
50.0Form33.3
55.9Power45.6
1.52xG0.98
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